Data that moves policy — and informs debate.

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Data that moves policy — and informs debate.

Explore Our Research Hub

Data that moves policy — and informs debate.

Explore Our Research Hub
October 8, 2026
From the earliest preliminary reports to the most recent data analysis, both local and national research have shown that mass arrests of immigrants have a substantial negative impact on the economy. Adding to this growing body of research, new analysis by the Minnesota Budget Project and the Immigration Research Initiative, based on work by Chloe East and Elizabeth Cox, allows us to estimate that there are now 32,000 fewer jobs in Minnesota than there would have been without the massive increase in ICE arrests.

4,000

Number of immigrants arrested during the ICE surge in Minnesota between December 2025 and February 2026

7,000

Fewer jobs for immigrants in MN

25,000

Fewer jobs for U.S. born workers in MN

Research Hub

ICE Spike Means 32,000 Fewer Jobs in Minnesota

October 8, 2026
From the earliest preliminary reports to the most recent data analysis, both local and national research have shown that mass arrests of immigrants have a substantial negative impact on the economy. Adding to this growing body of research, new analysis by the Minnesota Budget Project and the Immigration Research Initiative, based on work by Chloe East and Elizabeth Cox, allows us to estimate that there are now 32,000 fewer jobs in Minnesota than there would have been without the massive increase in ICE arrests.

No Multipliers: MVPC Fails to Spur Local Economy

September 2, 2026
Local officials have repeatedly justified the Moshannon Valley Processing Center, first as a for-profit prison, then as an ICE detention facility, with promises of economic benefits to the local community of Clearfield County. But two decades of evidence show little economic payoff, a shortfall made all the more troubling by three recent deaths at the facility.

ICE Arrests Result in a Decline in Employment: State-Level Projections

July 27, 2026
The program of mass deportation being carried out by the Trump Administration is hurting American workers, both immigrants and those born in the United States. How much would employment drop in your state—for immigrants and for U.S.-born workers—if one percent of the people most at risk were arrested with a massive ICE raid in your state?
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October 8, 2026

Economic Policy Institute and a Critical State-Level Network

The Economic Policy Institute’s (EPI) EARN conference is always a highlight of my year. The convening last week was particularly special, since it coincided with EPI’s 40th Anniversary.

September 29, 2026

A New Chicago Report Adds to the Growing List of Studies on the Economic Damage of the Deportation Regime

A new report from Chicago’s Cook County adds to a growing body of evidence that spikes in ICE arrests lead to economic impacts that harm both immigrants and U.S.-born workers, on top of the shocking human rights abuses. The report from Cook County measured a loss of $1.25 billion in foot traffic from Latine consumers.

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